Ïn other words, the interpretation of the war has many dimensions including the claim of denazification being made by an imperial power in opposition to the claim of imperialism being resisted by a sovereign nation. When the war finally ends, it might be the case that there were an equivalent number of neo-nazis on both sides, making the claims more about Russia’s cultural erasure of Ukraine.
There is a subtlety in the multiculturalism of Ukraine that can be both diverse and also corruptible and it does exist in certain words in one language not used in the other even though the country has a degree of bilingualism. Shibboleths or code words are possible in wartime interactions and peacetime will have similar issues, not unlike the number of fascists in the US who would use the 2020 election denial as a litmus test. For example, “Ukrainian palyanytsia is something that Russia will not be able to appropriate, regardless of the circumstances. All because Russians cannot properly pronounce this word. From the first day of the Russian invasion, it was clear that the whole war would not be fought openly on a battlefield.”
As an example, in the last four days, the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense has claimed to have killed 1,450 Russian troops and destroyed 68 tanks, 118 armored personnel carriers and infantry fighting vehicles, 7 Multiple Launch Rocket Systems (MLRS), 23 unmanned aerial systems, 53 artillery pieces, and 58 vehicles and fuel tanks. Even a fresh military would consider those numbers heavy losses, but for a battered force like the Russian military right now, the casualties are unsustainable. And the problem for Moscow only worsens as every modern weapon system it losses in Ukraine is a weapon system that it has to struggle to replace or can’t all together.
The Ukrainian military intelligence has stated that Russian President Vladimir Putin and his Kremlin advisers have decided to extend the deadline for the capture of the Donbas. Previously, the Russian military had been ordered to capture Donbas, which is comprised of the Donetsk and Luhansk provinces (the latter is already under full Russian control), by August 31. Now that deadline has been extended to September 15. But with the ongoing Ukrainian counteroffensive in the south that continues to draw Russian forces from elsewhere in Ukraine, the ability of the Russian military to take Donbas anytime soon is extremely unlikely.
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The Ukrainian counteroffensive is tangibly degrading Russian logistics and administrative capabilities in occupied southern Ukraine. As ISW has previously reported, Ukrainian officials
www.understandingwar.org explicitly confirmed that Ukrainian troops seek to attrit Russian logistical capabilities in the south through precision strikes on manpower and equipment concentrations, command centers, and logistics nodes. These counteroffensive actions also have intentional radiating effects on Russian occupation authorities. The head of the Kherson Oblast occupation regime, Kirill Stremousov, told Russian media outlet TASS that his administration has paused annexation referendum plans in Kherson Oblast due to “security” concerns. The Ukrainian Resistance Center similarly reported that Russian occupation authorities are abandoning plans for referenda due to the ongoing counteroffensive. Shortly after TASS published his comment, Stremousov posted on Telegram denying he called for a pause because his administration had never set an official date for the referendum. Both of Stremousov’s statements indicate a high level of disorganization within occupation regimes that is likely being exacerbated by the effects of the counteroffensive. Ukrainian forces intend to slowly chip away at both Russian tactical and operational level capabilities in Kherson Oblast, and in doing so will likely have significant impacts on the administrative and bureaucratic capabilities of occupation officials.
The United Nations’ nuclear watchdog on Tuesday called for a no-fire zone around an embattled Ukrainian nuclear generator, but like the plant itself, the agency was quickly caught up in the war between Russia and Ukraine.
In a highly anticipated report, nuclear inspectors who had to wend their way through the battlefield to get to the plant said they were “gravely concerned” about conditions there.
“We are playing with fire, and something very very catastrophic could take place,” Rafael Mariano Grossi, the U.N. official who led the inspectors, said in an address to the Security Council on Tuesday afternoon.
Occupied by Russian forces just after they invaded Ukraine in March, the Zaporizhzhia nuclear complex has been limping along for months, its vital cooling systems at risk, its power lines degraded and its Ukrainian workers struggling to do their jobs as shells rain down.
For weeks, people living near the station, in both Ukrainian-controlled and Russian-controlled territory, have been fleeing, or trying to. The roads for evacuating from the Russian occupied zone into Ukrainian-held territory — the same route the nuclear inspectors traveled to reach the station — has been perilous because of artillery shelling.
On Tuesday, a Ukrainian deputy prime minister, Iryna Vereshchuk, said that Ukraine had proposed a humanitarian corridor, where both sides would cease artillery strikes, to ease escape from the area, but that Russia had refused.
U.S.-led efforts to secure Ukraine’s cyber defenses have fueled interest in broader collaboration to thwart cyberattacks
LONDON—In the years leading up to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Moscow’s hackers hammered the country with debilitating cyberattacks, including a pair that knocked out the lights to hundreds of thousands of people in two successive winters.
Since the war began in February, however, cyber defenses put in place with the help of Western nations appear to have blunted Russia’s hacking advantage while fueling more international cooperation in cyberspace among Kyiv’s allies, current and former U.S. and European officials said.
While the fight for territory has been fierce and Russian shelling has leveled Ukrainian cities, Ukraine has largely avoided suffering large-scale cyberattacks like those Moscow had previously unleashed.
Western intelligence officials and security analysts say a variety of factors have limited Russian hackers’ impact during the war. But many point to U.S.-led efforts to share intelligence, train Ukrainian cybersecurity personnel, bulletproof Ukraine’s network defenses and bolster its critical infrastructure against cyberattack. That, too, has fueled interest in broader international cooperation.
On Thursday, Ukraine’s cyber-defense agency announced a new memorandum of cyber-defense cooperation with Romania, to broaden the sharing of information about cyber incidents and vulnerabilities, among other areas of collaboration. The announcement followed a similar one between Ukraine and Poland last month.
Organizations and governments rely on the rapid exchange of technical information about hacking threats and other streams of intelligence, such as the priorities of a foreign adversary, to safeguard their own computer systems. But concerns about security and secrecy and other sources of friction often limit sharing of more sensitive insights. Before and during the war, the U.S. and other allies have given priority to supporting Ukraine with both intelligence and cybersecurity training, and have been forceful about condemning alleged Russian cyber aggression when they identify it.
The U.S. military’s Cyber Command has deployed “hunt forward” teams of cyber-defense personnel to allied countries, including Ukraine last year, to identify threats to critical computer networks and educate those countries on how to protect them. Cyber Command said last month it had completed 35 hunt-forward operations in 18 countries, including Croatia, Estonia, Lithuania, Montenegro and North Macedonia.
The war has led some Western countries to put aside at least temporarily some of their disagreements on technology policy in favor of treating collective cybersecurity as a front-burner priority, said Chris Painter, the top cyber diplomat in the Obama administration.
“This has galvanized a new era of cyber cooperation between the U.S. and Europe,” Mr. Painter said, citing as an example recent progress in a United Nations working group focused on developing international cybersecurity standards.
2/ of an entire full BTG (MBT) that is send to oblivion! more certainly equivalent of 2 half cripple ones every day) this is quite huge! and this is happening for the last 6 days!
By the end of the week (10 days max) a huge turning point might occur. let’s hope Ukr is not
3/ impacted as much (not in terms of MBT of course, because they are not “engaging” that way as much as Ru do), because it could lead to another “stop” for a couple months then.
if we take the losses registered in sept 3 it was even more “crazy” :
4/ but i’ve seen people asking how these numbers are possible?
well i’ve explained for the Ru “casualties” reported and i’ve made a mini thread about it and long story short, this is the only point you can said 2/3 are certainly confirmed. for the rest of destroyed Ru materials
5/ it is much more easier to “count”.
because of Drones and sat imagery (GEOINT) analysis.
Also for the materials, no one explained this last couple of days, so let me try to explain : it is not that Ukr are rushing with MBTs ro IFVs and going through Ru lines of defenses..
6/ like crazy apaches..
but it’s more about expanding limits and waiting for Ru to come in and then smoking them while incoming (for one part) like in the “estimate graph” below..
so suddenly Russian are asked to go and fully crush Uk so sending lots of tanks and APCs/IFVs etc.
7/ so Ukr are waiting for them with Javelins/manpads/Nlaws (everything you can imagine) plus support of arty with pre-registered positions to shell, & CAS (quite new): Then Ukr are pushing again and again (hence lots of casualties now in both sides to be fair). but that’s only
8/ one part of the explanation of such Ru losses. because for months now Ukr intel helped with all western other intel agencies (helped w partisans & deeply inserted SOF) are gathering all the infos they need in order to cripple and hit AT THE SAME TIME, all the most important
9/ critical warehouses, ammo dump, depots, roads etc, in order to directly “stiff” the reaction of Russians for a part, & impeach (block) them for a quick response of support where the action is “hot”. So when you see these kind of sat image of Russ waiting for Ukr it’s laughable
10/ because we are no more in the 70’s, it is absolutely useless to have such line of “defense” right now, with all direct intel, you should move every day of your position and change patterns of modification and ratio of véhicules & troops around etc.
Because now… it’s going
11/ to be a “ball trap” party!
Ukr hide quite well the fact that they could suddenly unleash all that support on such “defensive” groups (or line of defense in trees) but all you got to have nowadays in order for an M777 (or equivalent) to strike half of this in couple hours is
12/ some accurate GPS loc data and some M982 Excalibur artillery type of projectile. and actually ukr have their own production of such ammunition (Chuck actually was the one to tell me about this!) so for 70grand you can smoke a T-72 for example.
All about the 155mm M777 howitzer and M982 Excalibur guided projectile
In a short time, 155 mm lightweight towed M777 howitzers will arrive in Ukraine, equipped with the M982 Excalibur artillery projectile.
13/ for reference (Kvitnik) & other systems:
and actually even Germany has announced they will send some of their own Vulcan :
As a strategic manufacturer of weapon and military hardware for Ukraine’s defense and security forces, Ukroboronprom strives that Ukraine’s army has modern, high-quality, high-tech and reliable weapon…
New Ammo For Ukraine? US Could Supply Excalibur Munitions To Kiev To Target Dug-In Russian Positions & Command Posts
US will give Ukraine Excalibur precision-guided artillery munitions along with five additional pieces of hardware that have yet to deliver to Kyiv
Germany Announces Vulcan Guided Artillery Shells for Ukraine
Germany has updated its previously announced weapons list for Ukraine, including over 250 Vulcan-guided long-range artillery shells.
14/ So in a week we have witnessed an amazing destruction of Russians forces, and support in the #kherson area. this battle is epic even if right now we have few info (rightfully so) because it could be ONE OF the most important battle of this war. To put it in perspective :
15/ if France, England or Russia would lose this amount of really meaningful ground (army) material.. in 3 weeks their army would be gone.
even for Russia its going to be huge as right now as i showed once, they have they equivalent of 10 MBTs for 10km in the front line. so when
16/ you lose 100 per week, in an area you CANT replace them (they will get smoked trying to cross the #Dniepr on Dinghys…) maybe a couple per day.. so it’ll leave only Ru manpower (lol) to defend the entire area quite soon. this is not sustainable for Russian to hide or attack
17/ past a certain point.
the only question is will they destroy Ukr forces enough to stop them and send huge manpower reinforcement to go deep into tranches in order to block Ukr advance long enough to break this moving wave…
but Russians also have a bigger problem now
18/ we r laughing about it, but if you don’t give the men enough food, u can go on for 2 or 3 weeks, but past that point, (si l’intendance ne suit pas..) a lots of troop might just want to surrender or undress & leave their units, w civilians help there..
19/ also some dumb are claiming “yeah but Ru arty !!!”
yeah useless bro when your canon (fût) are roasted because you shell like crazy mofo the trees & dust, and when the stock is over, what’s going to happen? Russian ammo have learned to swim to cross the Dniepro by itself?
20/ so at the end of the day, yeah it’s hard for both, but the Russian stock of materials/ life expectancy/ is melting like an ice cream under the sun of July in the Sahara…
et pr mes potos fra : les zozo’s sont dans le pétrin! 😉
End. (for now)
in N° 15/ “if France, England or Russia” i meant Germany instead of Russia of course….
thanks for eagle eyes of readers !!
22/ yeah so for people asking (someone send me this near #kherson near #Chornobaivka ?? -see infra). or like Chuck shows it in is precious work (below) it will end up when necessary, exactly the same way. they’ll get smoke. Ukr are not in “rush” to gain these places… Ukr will
23/ destroy them from afar, then “come in” draw back… pull them in pre determined best defensive lines from where they will “javelin” their asses.. and then move forward when really they’ll assess it is “safe” enough to go forward.
this airport is nothing to “hurry/rush” for..
24/ for the ones who have missed my little thread about the assessment of casualties..